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Politics of Uncertainty: Possible Outcomes of Turkey’s Forthcoming Elections 2 juin 2015

Posted by Acturca in Turkey / Turquie.
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Policy Brief (German Marshall Fund of the United States) June 1, 2015

Ilter Turan & Ahmet K. Han *

A week before Turkey’s parliamentary elections, speculation regarding possible outcomes occupies the minds of political leaders and pundits alike. The intricacy of the Turkish electoral system, in particular the 10 percent national electoral threshold and the volatility of voters’ preferences, make accurate predictions difficult, but this policy brief offers various possible scenarios, including different coalition government configurations.

* İlter Turan is an emeritus professor of political science at Istanbul’s Bilgi University, where he also served as president between 1998-2001. Dr. Ahmet K. Han is an associate professor at Kadir Has University, Istanbul.

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