Turkey’s Hot Summer

Policy Brief (German Marshall Fund of the United States) June 18, 2015

Emre Erdogan *

Results of the June 7 general elections opened a new chapter for the AKParty and Turkey in general. The performance and ambitions of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Turkey’s struggling economy are both widely thought to be behind the votes. A coalition government is possible, but only if one or more of the opposition parties is able to resolve enough differences with the AKParty, or if the three leading opposition parties can work together, or if the AKParty is able to form a minority government. This policy brief examines the details of all three of these scenarios.

* Emre Erdoğan, Ph.D., is an expert in public opinion and foreign policy. He is one of the founders of Infakto RW, an Istanbul-based independent research institute, and a professor of political methodology in Istanbul Bilgi University and Boğaziçi University.

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