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Turkey and the PKK: Saving the Peace Process 6 novembre 2014

Posted by Acturca in Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie.
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Europe Report (International Crisis Group) N°234                                                   Türkçe

Istanbul/Brussels, 6 November 2014

The peace process to end the 30-year-old insurgency of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) against Turkey’s government is at a turning point. It will either collapse as the sides squander years of work, or it will accelerate as they commit to real convergences. (suite…)

The Rising Costs of Turkey’s Syrian Quagmire 30 avril 2014

Posted by Acturca in Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie.
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Europe Report (International Crisis Group) N° 230                                                    Türkçe

Gaziantep/Istanbul/Brussels, 30 April 2014

The Syrian crisis crashed onto neighbouring Turkey’s doorstep three years ago and the humanitarian, policy and security costs continue to rise. After at least 720,000 Syrian refugees, over 75 Turkish fatalities and nearly $3 billion in spending, frustration and fatigue are kicking in. (suite…)

Divided Cyprus: Coming to Terms on an Imperfect Reality 14 mars 2014

Posted by Acturca in Energy / Energie, EU / UE, South East Europe / Europe du Sud-Est, Turkey / Turquie.
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Europe Report (International Crisis Group) N° 229                                Ελληνικά   Türkçe

Nicosia/Istanbul/Brussels, 14 March 2014

Talks have begun – yet again – on a settlement for divided Cyprus. To avoid another failed effort at a federation, new ideas are needed. (suite…)

Crying “Wolf”: Why Turkish Fears Need Not Block Kurdish Reform 7 octobre 2013

Posted by Acturca in Turkey / Turquie.
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Europe Report (International Crisis Group) N°227                                  Türkçe

Istanbul/Brussels, 7 October 2013

Negotiations underway since late 2012 between Turkey’s government and the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) are stalling. A ceasefire announced on 23 March 2013 remains precarious, as maximalist rhetoric gains renewed traction on both sides. (suite…)

Armenia and Azerbaijan: A Season of Risks 26 septembre 2013

Posted by Acturca in Caucasus / Caucase.
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Europe Briefing (International Crisis Group) N° 71, 15 p.

26 September 2013, Baku/Yerevan/Tbilisi/Brussels

Confrontation, low-intensity but volatile, between Azerbaijan and Armenia has entered a period of heightened sensitivity. Peace talks on Nagorno-Karabakh bogged down in 2011, accelerating an arms race and intensifying strident rhetoric. Terms like “Blitzkrieg’’, “pre-emptive strike’’ and ‘‘total war” have gained currency with both sides’ planners. (suite…)

Turkey has to reboot its Syria strategy 17 mai 2013

Posted by Acturca in Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie.
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Daily Star (Lebanon) 17 May 2013                                                       Français

Hugh Pope *

For much of the late 2000s, Turkey hoped that a booming economy, the prestige of combative Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan and a burst of regional admiration for its successful mix of Muslim governance and democracy would reap it a harvest of Middle Eastern influence and profit. (suite…)

Blurring the Borders: Syrian Spillover Risks for Turkey 30 avril 2013

Posted by Acturca in Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie.
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Europe Report (International Crisis Group) N° 225, 48 p.                      Türkçe

Antakya/Ankara/Istanbul/Brussels, 30 April 2013

As the humanitarian crisis reaches catastrophic proportions,Syria needs to open its borders to external aid, while Turkey and its international partners need more long-term planning to meet growing refugee needs and avoid having instability spill over the porous border. (suite…)

The Cost of Frozen Conflict for Cyprus, Greece and Turkey 26 mars 2013

Posted by Acturca in South East Europe / Europe du Sud-Est, Turkey / Turquie.
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Today’s Zaman (Turkey) 26 March 2013, p. 14
Ekathimerini (Greece)  25 March 2013

Hugh Pope *

Last month, iron anti-riot shutters boarded up the street-side windows of the Grande Bretagne hotel ballroom in Athens as fine-suited patriarchs of Greek and Cypriot industry gathered for the annual Athens Energy Forum (suite…)

Syria’s Kurds: A Struggle Within a Struggle 22 janvier 2013

Posted by Acturca in Middle East / Moyen Orient.
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Middle East Report (International Crisis Group) N°136, 50 p.

Erbil/Damascus/Brussels, 22 January 2013

As Syria’s conflict has expanded, the population in majority-Kurd areas has remained relatively insulated. Keeping a lower profile, it has been spared the brunt of regime attacks; over time, security forces withdrew to concentrate elsewhere. (suite…)

A ‘frozen conflict’ that could boil over 9 mars 2012

Posted by Acturca in Caucasus / Caucase, France, Russia / Russie, Turkey / Turquie.
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International Herald Tribune (USA) Friday, March 9, 2012, p. 6

By Lawrence Scott Sheets *

One frigid day nearly 19 years ago, I found myself standing along a muddy, rutted road in the foothills of Azerbaijan’s 3,000 meter-high Murov mountain range. Hundreds of Azerbaijani internally displaced persons – from the strategic Kelbajar region – were arriving on foot, some nearly frozen to death after a multiday trek through the icy mountain passes. (suite…)

Turkey’s dance: on the edge of the cauldron 8 mars 2012

Posted by Acturca in Economy / Economie, Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie, Turkey-EU / Turquie-UE.
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Montrose Journal (UK) 8 March 2012

Hugh Pope *

Things have rarely felt better for a Turkish government. After a decade of broad-based progress, Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan is hearing little but praise for the democratic legitimacy of Turkey’s elections, its robust market economy and the way it seems to have tamed four of the region’s ideological demons: Islamism, ethnic nationalism, militarism and authoritarianism. (suite…)

Tackling Azerbaijan’s IDP Burden 27 février 2012

Posted by Acturca in Caucasus / Caucase.
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Europe Briefing (International Crisis Group) N° 6, 15 p.           Türkçe  усский

27 February 2012, Baku/Tbilisi/Istanbul/Brussels

As negotiations between Azerbaijan and Armenia to resolve the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh stall, the Azerbaijan government has improved living conditions for the internally displaced (IDPs), though return to the occupied territories remains by far the preferred solution. (suite…)

In Heavy Waters: Iran’s Nuclear Program, the Risk of War and Lessons from Turkey 23 février 2012

Posted by Acturca in Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie, USA / Etats-Unis.
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Middle East and Europe Report (International Crisis Group) N°11623, 41 p.

23 February 2012, Istanbul/Washington/Brussels

The dramatic escalation in Israel’s rhetoric aimed at Iran could well be sheer bluff, a twin message to Tehran to halt its nuclear activities and to the international community to heighten its pressure to that end. (suite…)

Turkey and Greece: time to settle the Aegean dispute 19 juillet 2011

Posted by Acturca in South East Europe / Europe du Sud-Est, Turkey / Turquie.
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Europe Briefing N°64 (International Crisis Group)               Türkçe  ελληνικά

Istanbul/Athens/Brussels, 19 July 2011

Normalisation between Greece and Turkey has come far since tensions in the Aegean Sea threatened war three times between the NATO allies. Trade, investments and mutual cooperation and tourism have taken off, sidelining issues like the Cyprus problem, which first stirred up the Aegean dispute in the early 1970s. (suite…)

Hoping to be a good neighbour to east and west 15 avril 2010

Posted by Acturca in Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie.
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European Voice, 15.04.2010

By Toby Vogel

As its isolationist instincts decline, Turkey is trying to promote a policy of ‘zero problems’ with its neighbours, while pushing for EU membership. Western observers often describe Turkey as a bridge between east and west. But for much of recent history it has instead been an isolated promontory. (suite…)

Turkey and the Middle East: ambitions and constraints 7 avril 2010

Posted by Acturca in Economy / Economie, Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie.
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Europe Report N°203 (International Crisis Group)                       Türkçe

Istanbul/Brussels, 7 April 2010

Turkey is launching initiative after ambitious initiative aimed at stabilising the Middle East. Building on the successes of its normalisation with Syria and Iraq, it is facilitating efforts to reduce conflicts, expanding visa-free travel, ramping up trade, integrating infrastructure, forging strategic relationships and engaging in multilateral regional platforms. (suite…)

Solving the EU-Turkey-Cyprus triangle : setting the stage 23 février 2009

Posted by Acturca in South East Europe / Europe du Sud-Est, Turkey-EU / Turquie-UE.
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International Crisis Group, 23 February 2009

Hugh Pope *

Turkey has been converging formally with the European Union and its predecessors since it signed an association agreement in 1963, the same year the dispute between Greek Cypriots, Turkish Cypriots, Turkey and Greece over Cyprus became both a cause and symptom of ups and downs in the EU-Turkey relationship. (suite…)

Caspian uncertainty biggest threat to EU gas scheme 22 janvier 2008

Posted by Acturca in Caucasus / Caucase, Central Asia / Asie Centrale, Energy / Energie, Russia / Russie.
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Reuters News, 22/01/2008

By Anna Mudeva and Thomas Grove

Uncertain central Asian gas supplies have emerged as the largest threat to an EU scheme to provide an alternative to Russian gas following a month-long stand-off between Turkmenistan and Iran, analysts say. (suite…)