Turkey’s Elections: A Short-Lived Parliament Anyway? 9 juillet 2015
Posted by Acturca in Turkey / Turquie.Tags: Ahmet K. Han, government, parliamentary elections, policy brief, The German Marshall Fund of the United States
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Policy Brief (German Marshall Fund of the United States) July 9, 2015
Ahmet K. Han *
Following Turkey’s June 7 elections, there seems to be two alternative scenarios for Turkey. Either two or more of the parties will reach an understanding to form a coalition, or one of the parties will split and choose to be a coalition partner in some combination with the rest. (suite…)
Forming Turkey’s Next Government: What are the Implications for Polarization and Policies? 23 juin 2015
Posted by Acturca in Turkey-EU / Turquie-UE.Tags: Galip Dalay, GMF, policy brief, The German Marshall Fund of the United States
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Policy Brief (German Marshall Fund of the United States) June 23, 2015
Galip Dalay *
Political identities and proximity on significant policy issues will be decisive in the formation of Turkey’s next government. But this process takes place in a highly polarized context, a perilous feature of Turkey’s politics in recent years. (suite…)
Turkey’s Hot Summer 18 juin 2015
Posted by Acturca in Turkey / Turquie.Tags: AKP, Emre Erdoğan, parliamentary elections, policy brief, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, The German Marshall Fund of the United States
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Policy Brief (German Marshall Fund of the United States) June 18, 2015
Emre Erdogan *
Results of the June 7 general elections opened a new chapter for the AKParty and Turkey in general. The performance and ambitions of President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Turkey’s struggling economy are both widely thought to be behind the votes. (suite…)
Reading the Tea Leaves of the Turkish Election 2 juin 2015
Posted by Acturca in Turkey / Turquie.Tags: AKP, HDP, parliamentary elections, policy brief, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Soli Özel, The German Marshall Fund of the United States
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Policy Brief (German Marshall Fund of the United States) June 2, 2015
Soli Özel *
For the first time in the AKParty’s long reign, the opposition is challenging the ruling party on the basis of existing economic conditions. (suite…)
Reading the 2015 Turkish Parliamentary Elections: Useful Terms for Analysis 1 juin 2015
Posted by Acturca in Turkey / Turquie.Tags: Özgehan Şenyuva, parliamentary elections, policy brief, The German Marshall Fund of the United States
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Policy Brief (German Marshall Fund of the United States) May 29, 2015
Özgehan Şenyuva *
The June 2015 Turkish Parliament (Grand National Assembly) election may be one of the most important elections in recent Turkish political history. (suite…)
Reverting Structural Reforms in Turkey: Towards an Illiberal Economic Governance? 29 mai 2015
Posted by Acturca in Economy / Economie, Turkey / Turquie, Turkey-EU / Turquie-UE.Tags: GTE Policy Brief, Isik Ozel, Istituto Affari Internazionali, policy brief
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GTE Policy Brief (Istituto Affari Internazionali) No. 22, May 2015
Işık Özel *
Following a major reform process that started in 2001, the Turkish economy not only recovered from a severe crisis, but also resurged more or less resilient to the global financial crisis. (suite…)
Turkey’s Rise as a Reluctant Ally Faced with the Russian Threat 28 mai 2015
Posted by Acturca in Russia / Russie, Turkey / Turquie.Tags: bilateral relations, Eurasia, foreign policy, NATO, Pinar Elman, PISM, policy brief, Polish Institute of International Affairs
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PISM Policy Papers, No. 14 (116) May 2015
The Polish Institute of International Affairs
by Pinar Elman *
While actively contributing to NATO exercises and operations that confirm Turkey’s commitment to the Alliance, Ankara has also actively avoided cooperating with the Western political and economic efforts to curb Russian aggression in Ukraine. (suite…)
Turkey’s June 7, 2015, Election Campaign Brings Changes 5 mai 2015
Posted by Acturca in Turkey / Turquie.Tags: AKP, CHP, elections, HDP, Ilter Turan, MHP, parliamentary elections, policy brief, The German Marshall Fund of the United States
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Policy Brief (German Marshall Fund of the United States) May 5, 2015
Ilter Turan *
The governing AKParty, which has added to its share of the vote in each succeeding election since it first achieved power in 2002, is expected to experience a decline in the June 2015 parliamentary elections. (suite…)
Gazprom’s evolving strategy in a new commercial and political context: how should the EU react? 27 avril 2015
Posted by Acturca in Energy / Energie, EU / UE, Russia / Russie, Turkey / Turquie.Tags: European Policy Centre, Gazprom, Marco Giuli, policy brief
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Policy Brief (European Policy Centre) 27 April 2015
Marco Giuli *
Gazprom is no longer the unchallenged Russian gas behemoth it once was; troubles with the European Commission over its alleged abuse of its dominant market position and non-compliance with the EU regulatory framework, rising political tensions and new trends in the broader energy and gas markets have forced the company to make some adjustments to its traditionally politically inspired strategy. (suite…)
Illusions versus reality: Turkey’s approach to the Middle East and North Africa 16 avril 2015
Posted by Acturca in Economy / Economie, Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie.Tags: AKP, Arab uprisings, Behlül Özkan, foreign policy, Fride, Hivos, MENA, policy brief, Soli Özel
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Policy Brief (FRIDE) nº 200, April 2015 Español
By Soli Özel & Behlül Özkan *
Turkey’s once so promising standing in the Middle East and North Africa lies in ruins. This is because the Turkish government – driven by ideology rather than pragmatism – has squandered its regional geopolitical capital since the 2011 Arab uprisings. (suite…)
Reinvigorating Turkey’s Transatlantic Enthusiasm Through TTIP 1 avril 2015
Posted by Acturca in Economy / Economie, Turkey / Turquie, Turkey-EU / Turquie-UE, USA / Etats-Unis.Tags: Alison O. Patch, Joshua W. Walker, policy brief, The German Marshall Fund of the United States, Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership
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Policy Brief (German Marshall Fund of the United States) April 1, 2015
Joshua W. Walker & Alison O. Patch *
Western leaders must carefully consider new ways and means for including an increasingly distant Turkey into a transatlantic framework. (suite…)
Turkish Stream and its implications for the EU 14 mars 2015
Posted by Acturca in Energy / Energie, EU / UE, Russia / Russie, South East Europe / Europe du Sud-Est, Turkey / Turquie.Tags: Egmont – Royal Institute for International Relations, François Koch, Greece, policy brief, Turkish Stream
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European Policy Brief (EGMONT) No. 34, March 2015
Egmont – Royal Institute for International Relations
By François Koch *
A first assessment is that this would not work”, EC Vice-President in charge of Energy Union Mr. Maros Sefcovic said in an interview with The Wall Street Journal at the World Economic Forum in Davos on the 22nd of January. (suite…)
Turkey’s New Missiles of October: Defense Modernization or Political Statement? 12 mars 2015
Posted by Acturca in Economy / Economie, Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie.Tags: Ahmet K. Han, Can Kasapoglu, China, défense, NATO, policy brief, The German Marshall Fund of the United States
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Policy Brief (German Marshall Fund of the United States) March 12, 2015
Ahmet K. Han & Can Kasapoğlu *
Ankara is giving mixed signals regarding the award of an upcoming missile defense system. Will it be awarded to a defense contractor in a NATO ally country, as has traditionally been the case, or will it be awarded to a Chinese company? (suite…)
Gas Discoveries in the Eastern Mediterranean: Implications for Regional Maritime Security 11 mars 2015
Posted by Acturca in Energy / Energie, EU / UE, Middle East / Moyen Orient, Russia / Russie, South East Europe / Europe du Sud-Est, Turkey / Turquie, USA / Etats-Unis.Tags: Cyprus, Eastern Mediterranean, Eric V. Thompson, Israël, Lebanon, policy brief, Sarah Vogler, The German Marshall Fund of the United States
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Policy Brief (German Marshall Fund of the United States) March 2015
Foreign and Security Policy Program ~ Eastern Mediterranean Energy Project
by Sarah Vogler and Eric V. Thompson *
Offshore gas discoveries in the eastern Mediterranean could have a profound impact on the region’s energy, economic, and geopolitical future. (suite…)
TTIP and EU-Turkish Economic Relations: Deepening the Customs Union 4 mars 2015
Posted by Acturca in Economy / Economie, EU / UE, Turkey / Turquie, Turkey-EU / Turquie-UE, USA / Etats-Unis.Tags: customs union, GTE Policy Brief, Istituto Affari Internazionali, Kamil Yılmaz, policy brief
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GTE Policy Brief (Istituto Affari Internazionali) No. 21, March 2015
Kamil Yılmaz *
This policy brief focuses on the future of Turkish-EU economic relations in face of the initiation of US-EU negotiations on TTIP. Even though the Turkish government declared its willingness to be part of the negotiation process, Turkey’s best policy action at the moment is to negotiate a Free Trade Agreement with the US. (suite…)
Russia and Turkey – What does their partnership mean for the EU? 13 février 2015
Posted by Acturca in Economy / Economie, Energy / Energie, EU / UE, Russia / Russie, Turkey / Turquie, Turkey-EU / Turquie-UE.Tags: Dimitar Bechev, European Policy Centre, foreign policy, policy brief, South Stream, Turkish Stream
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Policy Brief (European Policy Centre) 13 February 2015
Dimitar Bechev *
Russia and Turkey have, over the past two decades, developed a very constructive relationship across a wide variety of policy areas. Imperial rivals during much of the Cold War, both countries have since then found common interests in matters of energy, trade and even defence. (suite…)
Parameters of Engagement and Turkey’s Limits in the Coalition Against ISIS 13 novembre 2014
Posted by Acturca in Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie.Tags: diplomacy, Hasan Selim Özertem, Mehmet Yegin, policy brief, The German Marshall Fund of the United States
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Policy Brief (German Marshall Fund of the United States) November 13, 2014
Mehmet Yegin & Hasan Selim Ozertem *
Turkey’s role in a coalition against the Islamic State group has not yet been determined. This brief discusses the dynamics that really matter in the decision-making process regarding Turkey’s participation in coalitions (suite…)
The 2014 Presidential Elections in Turkey: A Post-election Analysis 11 septembre 2014
Posted by Acturca in Turkey / Turquie.Tags: Ergün Özbudun, GTE Policy Brief, Istituto Affari Internazionali, policy brief, political parties, presidential election, Recep Tayyip Erdogan
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GTE Policy Brief (Istituto Affari Internazionali) No. 18, September 2014
by Ergun Özbudun *
On 10 August 2014, in the first popular election of the Turkish President in the history of the Republic, Prime Minister and Justice and Development Party (AKP) candidate Recep Tayyip Erdoğan was elected in the first round with 51.79 percent of the vote. (suite…)
Electoral Constellations Towards the August 2014 Presidential Elections in Turkey 24 juillet 2014
Posted by Acturca in Turkey / Turquie.Tags: AKP, Ali Çarkoğlu, GTE Policy Brief, Istituto Affari Internazionali, policy brief, political parties, presidential election
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GTE Policy Brief (Istituto Affari Internazionali) No. 17, July 2014
by Ali Çarkoğlu *
The results of Turkey’s municipal elections held on 30 March 2014, which consolidated the electoral strength of the conservative Justice and Development Party, surprised many. With presidential elections due to be held in August 2014 and a general election ten months later, this strong electoral performance may be indicative of an effective consolidation of the AKP’s electoral predominance. (suite…)