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Can Erdogan Stay at the Helm? 1 juin 2015

Posted by Acturca in Turkey / Turquie.
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Policy Notes (The Washington Institute for Near East Policy) No.25, May 2015

Soner Cagaptay *

On June 7, Turkey will hold national parliamentary elections. The ruling Justice and Develop – ment Party (AKP), which has led the country since 2002, will almost certainly win this race. Ironically while an AKP victory is certain, it is difficult to estimate the number of seats the party will win in the Turkish legislature. (suite…)

Turkey’s Kurdish Path 5 mars 2015

Posted by Acturca in Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie, USA / Etats-Unis.
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Policy Notes (The Washington Institute for Near East Policy) No.23, March 2015

Soner Cagaptay *

Arab Spring success stories have generally not been easy to come by. One, however, may be playing out in a regional non-Arab state, Turkey, where ties between the Turks and their adversary, the Kurds, have been improving. (suite…)

Revealing Trends in Turkey’s Presidential Election 8 septembre 2014

Posted by Acturca in Turkey / Turquie, USA / Etats-Unis.
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Research Notes (The Washington Institute for Near East Policy) No. 23, September 2014

Soner Cagaptay with Ege Cansu Sacikara and Talya Yuzucu *

On August 10, Recep Tayyip Erdogan continued his prolific electoral run by collecting almost 52 percent of the vote in Turkey’s presidential poll, easily besting his chief rival, Ekmeleddin Ihsanoglu, who represented the left-right CHP/MHP coalition. (suite…)

Turks in Europe and Kurds in Turkey Could Elect Erdogan 24 juillet 2014

Posted by Acturca in Immigration, Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie.
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Policy Analysis (The Washington Institute for Near East Policy) N° 2291, July 23, 2014

Soner Cagaptay and Ege Cansu Sacikara *

Erdogan’s strategy in the August presidential polls envisions strong support among European Turks in the first round of voting, and backing from nationalist Kurds in case of a second round. (suite…)

The Impact of Syria’s Refugees on Southern Turkey Revised and Updated 13 juillet 2014

Posted by Acturca in Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie.
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Policy Focus (The Washington Institute for Near East Policy) No. 130, July 2014 – revised and updated

Soner Cagaptay, with Bilge Menekse *

Since Policy Focus 130 was first published in October 2013, the number of registered Syrian refugees in Turkey has nearly doubled, from roughly 440,000 to 747,000. (suite…)

Turkey’s Presidential Prospects: Assessing Recent Trends 23 mai 2014

Posted by Acturca in Turkey / Turquie.
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Research Notes (The Washington Institute for Near East Policy) No. 18, May 2014

Soner Cagaptay *

If Erdogan hopes to become Turkey’s first directly elected president, he will need to continue courting Kurdish voters and burnishing his economic and populist credentials. (suite…)

Turkey’s Changing Relations with Iraq: Kurdistan Up, Baghdad Down 25 octobre 2012

Posted by Acturca in Economy / Economie, Energy / Energie, Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie, USA / Etats-Unis.
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Policy Focus (The Washington Institute for Near East Policy) No. 122, Oct 2012

Soner Cagaptay and Tyler Evans *

Turkey’s ties with the Kurdistan Regional Government in northern Iraq have reached a level unimaginable a few years ago. From rapidly growing business and oil deals to numerous high-level diplomatic visits, Ankara is in the midst of an unprecedented rapprochement with the Iraqi Kurds, one that has come largely at the expense of the Maliki government in Baghdad. (suite…)

Military Implications of the Syria-Turkey Border Incident 5 octobre 2012

Posted by Acturca in Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie, USA / Etats-Unis.
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Policy Watch, No. 1988, Oct 5, 2012                                             العربية  Türkçe
The Washington Institute for Near East Policy

Jeffrey White, Soner Cagaptay, and Andrew J. Tabler *

Syria’s errant mortar strike is an opportunity for Washington to support Turkey in a more aggressive approach to the ongoing crisis next door. (suite…)

From Crisis to Cooperation: Turkey’s Relations with Washington and NATO 24 juin 2012

Posted by Acturca in Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie, USA / Etats-Unis.
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Policy Notes (The Washington Institute for Near East Policy) No.12, June 2012

Richard Outzen *

As recently as 2011, most discussions of the U.S-Turkey relationship necessarily focused on discord, disappointment, and growing concern. With memories of the Gaza flotilla incident and Turkish dissent on Iran sanctions still fresh, the horizon was clouded and turbulent. (suite…)

The Unexpected Vitality of Turkish-Israeli Trade 21 juin 2012

Posted by Acturca in Economy / Economie, Middle East / Moyen Orient, Turkey / Turquie.
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Research Notes (The Washington Institute for Near East Policy) No. 16, June 2012, 8 p.

Soner Cagaptay and Tyler Evans *

Given that political tensions continue to run high between Turkey and Israel, it would be inaccurate to describe their relations as good, or even on the mend. At the same time, booming trade ties and other economic indicators suggest that the two countries have great potential for a fresh start. (suite…)

Obama’s Turkey policy: European democracy and NATO benchmarks 15 janvier 2009

Posted by Acturca in Turkey / Turquie, USA / Etats-Unis.
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PolicyWatch (USA), n°1458, January 15, 2009

By Soner Cagaptay *

President-elect Barack Obama’s administration faces difficult choices regarding its policy toward Turkey. Should Washington choose sides in Turkey’s protracted struggle over secularism and democracy involving the ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) and its opponents? (suite…)

Assessing Turkey’s future as an energy transit country 1 août 2006

Posted by Acturca in Books / Livres, Caucasus / Caucase, Energy / Energie, Middle East / Moyen Orient, Russia / Russie, Turkey / Turquie, USA / Etats-Unis.
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Research Notes (The Washington Institute for Near East Policy) No.11, July 2006

Daniel Fink *

On July 13, the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline (BTC) was formally opened, connecting the Caspian oil basin with the Mediterranean and providing a more direct route to Western markets. (suite…)